May 15, 2009

NY- The Misuse of Statistics by Parents for Megan's Law

5-15-2009 New York:

Over at Sex Offenders - A Reality Based Discussion I found this rather interesting post re: misuse/mistating of statistics and thought folks may like to read it:

I've been exploring Parents for Megan's Law's web site. It actually has some pretty good material with which I agree, like their tips on prevention.Parents for Megan's Law actually gives some helpful statistics which make it clear that most children are victimized by family members and acquaintances, not by strangers. Unfortunately, they do not point out that 95% of those arrested for sex crimes in New York State (their base of operations) are first time offenders and thus are not listed on any registry. They also do not point out that the vast majority of sex offenders in New York State are not arrested for a repeat offense.

Unfortunately, they also do their share of twisting and misusing statistics:

Their offender statistics page states: "The typical pedophile commits an average of 280 sexual crimes during his lifetime." The source given is Able, G., et al. Self-reported Sex Crimes of Nonincarcerated Paraphiliacs. Journal of Interpersonal Violence 2:3-25, 1987You can find the quoted number (actually 281.7) on p. 16 of the study. Parents for Megan's Law states that the number applies to a "typical pedophile." Apparently, they think the typical pedophile does not target girls.

The number quoted refers only to offenders with male nonincest victims.

Actually, the majority of pedophiles in the study targeted girls and committed an average of 23.2 offenses (far fewer than those who targeted male victims). If you define the "typical pedophile" as someone who was diagnosed as being a pedophile (not everyone who has molested a child is a pedophile) who targeted both male and female nonincest victims, the accurate statement would be that the offenders committed an average of 128 offenses (less than half the number Parents for Megan's Law reports).

For the remainder of that post CLICK eAdvocate

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